As the world grapples with the urgent need to decarbonize, a new battleground is emerging beneath the ocean’s surface. Energy wars of the future will be fought over the control of subsea energy interconnectors, crucial for transmitting renewable energy across continents.
The Transatlantic Interconnector: A Game-Changer
A proposed transatlantic interconnector between Europe and North America aims to revolutionize energy distribution. The project, dubbed NATO-L, would span over 2,000 miles, connecting the United Kingdom to eastern Canada and potentially New York to western France. This interconnector would enable the exchange of renewable energy, taking advantage of the sun’s diurnal journey across the globe.
Geopolitical Implications: A New Era of Alliances
Subsea energy cables are not merely infrastructure projects; they are reshaping the geopolitical landscape. By fostering energy interdependence, these interconnectors force nations to reconsider their alliances and diplomatic strategies. The NATO-L project, in particular, is seen as a countermeasure to Russia’s aggression and China’s dominance in clean energy technology.
Russia’s Gray-Zone Attacks: A Threat to Energy Security
Russia has been escalating its gray-zone attacks at sea, targeting energy infrastructure such as subsea cables and pipelines. These attacks aim to intimidate and disrupt Europe’s energy supply, exploiting the vulnerability of cables in shallow waters.
The Appeal of Attacks at Sea: Weakening Rivals
The appeal of attacks at sea for Russia lies in the fact that it is where its European rivals are strengthening their energy connections and transitioning to renewables. By disrupting these interconnectors, Russia seeks to undermine the energy security of its adversaries and maintain its influence in the global energy market.
The Future of Energy Wars: A Shift in Power
The future of energy wars will be characterized by a shift in power away from fossil fuel-dependent nations towards those investing in renewable energy. Subsea energy interconnectors will play a pivotal role in this transition, enabling the sharing of green energy and reducing geopolitical tensions. However, the vulnerability of these cables to sabotage and attack remains a significant concern that must be addressed to ensure the stability of the global energy system.
